Why Whitman Lost
Maid scandal, prodigious spending hurt candidate, while Brown's experience and labor connections were assets
Governor-elect Jerry Brown’s landslide victory on Tuesday was as much about his experience and his strong support from organized labor as it was about his opponent’s seemingly impenetrable veneer and an electorate that is heavily Democratic.
Even for those barely old enough to remember when he was first elected governor in 1974, Brown projected an erudite, genuine persona. Though on the surface he might easily have been portrayed as part of an old guard that needed to move on, his lifelong commitment to the state and to public service did much to counterbalance those concerns.
“It was a pro-Brown vote,” said Field Poll director Mark DiCamillo. “I would suspect that Brown took a double-digit segment of independents, who make up 14 percent of California’s electorate.” In a race that was expected to be close, Brown captured 53.6 percent of the vote to Whitman’s 41.3 percent.
Whitman styled herself as a tough pragmatist whose tenure as chief executive of eBay was a warm-up for Sacramento. But her highly managed and scripted campaign — financed with a record-breaking $141 million of her own money — prevented a critical slice of voters from connecting with her.
Brown could not have competed with Whitman’s breakneck spending without organized labor. Firefighters, teachers and many workers contributed heavily to his campaign and spent $26.5 million in independent expenditures on his behalf.
Whitman assailed Brown for being “in the pocket of unions,” but the charge did not appear to stick, in part because voters saw labor as furthering their interests in a down economy. A nimble Brown responded by portraying Whitman’s wealth, reinforced by her ubiquitous television and radio advertisements, as a handicap that rendered her tone-deaf to pressing concerns of the unemployed, who represent 12.4 percent of the state’s workforce.
Cash from organized labor buoyed Brown’s campaign through Labor Day, when he unleashed his funds to capture voters just tuning in to the race.
“When you have such high unemployment, you have a deep economic concern in the most fundamental way. That means that unions aren’t considered part of the problem, they are perceived as part of the solution,” said Harley Shaiken, a professor at UC Berkeley who specializes in labor issues. “It’s very good news for labor that Jerry Brown will be governor. But the tough financial context of the state means limited resources for everyone.”
Shortly after Brown’s final push began, Nicky Diaz Santillan crushed Whitman’s hopes of a strong showing among Latinos when she revealed that she worked for Whitman illegally for nine years. Whitman said she fired Diaz Santillan in 2009 after learning her papers were falsified.
Exit polls showed 64 percent of Latinos favored Brown versus 30 percent for Whitman.
The scandal may have hurt more broadly as well, since Whitman had adopted a tough-on-immigration stance and called for harsher sanctions for those who employ illegal immigrants — a position that looked hypocritical in the wake of Diaz Santillan’s revelations.
Whitman may also have pushed up against the ceiling of what money can accomplish, even in an age when TV advertising dominates big campaigns.
“There was a lot of saturation — perhaps Whitman’s message became less believable,” said Molly Milligan, senior fellow at the Center for Governmental Studies in Los Angeles. “It seemed people were reacting to the enormous amount of money she spent. They reacted to the fact that she didn’t vote often, and they reacted to this maid scandal.”







Bob Jones
We'll see who is the loser in a couple of years. I'm betting it will be the legal American, hard-working citizens of California who will be aksed to continue to pay for the infestation of CRIMINAL aliens.
voltairesmistress
Ms. Gollan,
You left out another potent reason for Whitman's defeat: extremely biased reporting by most media outlets. Your own reporting was also very pro-Brown, as was that of one of your colleagues, Gerry Shui (spelling?). When last spring I asked Gerry when we would be having hard-hitting articles about Brown, since we'd already had two on Whitman, he promised me they were in the works. Well, they never came.
Look at the words you used to describe Whitman and Brown in this article. She had an "impenetrable veneer", while Brown was "erudite" and "genuine". You did not even bother to quote anyone saying that. You simply stated these observations yourself. That does not seem like good reporting to me.
Roy Baril
First, I find the above comments very amusing. You are all missing the point. And the point is: You cannot buy the election.
Meg Whitman could have won the election very easily if she would have spent her $100 million dollars more wisely. If she had put her $100 million into special educational endowments and donations to hard hit school systems across California, saving teachers jobs and school programs, she would have proven to Californians that her heart was in the right place. She would have backed up her rhetoric with with a real showing of heartfelt giving. She would have won hands down. Instead, she only showed her true colors by proving she was only out for herself, continuing to throw more money into an illfated campaign. For all her talk about getting California back on track and stopping politicians from spending all the taxpayers money, she showed absolutely no restraint in spending all of her money to become Govenor. She showed she couldn't help herself and reel in her non-stop spending. And, she surrounded herself with a staff of "yes" people with no power to stop her or advise her how to use her money in a better way. This was the picture she presented to the voters and wisely, the voters saw her for what she really is - a wealthy, power-hungry, wannabe who had no concept of what it would take to run California. 'Nuff said!
voltairesmistress
I don't disagree that Whitman's campaign made several critical errors from spending to message to timing and substance. Both candidates avoided policy discussions or any real substance in their campaign advertising.
I was deeply disappointed by how journalists failed to probe deeply into the issues the candidates would face as governor. The campaign coverage was shallow and biased in favor of Brown who never gave any specifics. The press gave him a big fat pass. It was enough to pillory Whitman for her money, her maid troubles, and her lack of interest in politics earlier in her career.
Voters I talked to mirrored the shallowness of the campaigns and the superficiality of the news coverage. Further, Brown got away with calling his opponent an "apostle of ignorance and darkness" (in public) and a "whore" (in private). In the end, voters had no idea what the candidates intended to do once in office. It boiled down to an exchange of insults and a deeply-felt anti-woman, anti-rich person bias.
Stewart in SF
Actually, it's quite simple. Brown is qualified Whitman was not, as the SJ Merc so eloquently pointed out.
Maria Bernstein
Among the legal, hardworking Americans who voted Brown in are the 64% of Latino voters who will never feel like losers voting against candidates like Whitman who are supported and propelled to office by people and parties that view other PEOPLE as some kind of vermin capable of "infestations" just because of their national origin and immigrant status. Who is really the (very bitter) loser?
voltairesmistress
I hesitate to reply to any comment, because I don't want to get into a fruitless argument. But I will here to make this point: You characterize supporters of Whitman (of which I was a lukewarm one) as people who "view other PEOPLE as some kind of vermin capable of 'infestations' just because of their national origin and immigrant status." This is name-calling and extremist language -- precisely what I despaired over during the general campaign that never rose above that.
I voted for Whitman, because I hoped she would be able to say "no" to some of the public employees unions whose pensions, salaries, and sheer number of positions are currently unsupportable with our current tax base. I also thought she might have some ideas for pro-business/pro-private sector job growth that would in turn lead to a stronger state economy and state revenues. The immigration issue is largely a federal one, and it played almost no part in my decision on how to vote.
I did not find either candidate compelling, but found Brown wanting in personal qualities. I am hoping he finds the right balance to govern well, because it is the well-being of all our citizens that I care about.
Adam
I would add to that quote in your last paragraph: "....Megan.... was less believable." It would seem obvious that many voters were digusted that this corporate CEO dismissed thousands of CA workers during her watch and that she appropriated millions for herself before leaving EBAY.
With that job performance history, who would believe that she would provide jobs and manage the State finance for the benefit of the citizens? I sure couldn't swallow that large tempting apple in one bite, especially when the worms of deceit were staring at my face.
Too often candidates assume that the voters have short memories about the corporate greed that caused the American economy to go into a free fall of failure.
Adam