Posted in Bikes
Last updated 05/31/2011 at 12:11 p.m. PDT

Suburbs, Men Are Biggest Threats to Bay Area Cyclists

Five years of bike crashes in every Bay Area county: why, where, who's really to blame

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By , , , on May 31, 2011 - 12:10 p.m. PDT

Bike Accident TrackerGO TO THE DATA APP

From 2005 through 2009, there were 2,246 bike crashes in San Francisco, a city where cyclists and cars jostle for position on crowded streets.

During the same time period, there were 1,416 crashes in Contra Costa County, where long roads run through quiet suburbs and countryside.

Which is more dangerous for bikers? The answer, surprisingly, is Contra Costa County. 

The reason is that Contra Costa County has far fewer cyclists than San Francisco. An average of 11 percent of Contra Costa bike commuters were in crashes each year from 2005 through 2009. During the same period, just 4 percent of San Francisco bike commuters were in crashes, the lowest rate in the Bay Area

The crash numbers come from the brand-new Bay Citizen Bike Accident Tracker 2.0, which maps every bike crash in the Bay Area from 2004 through 2009 that was reported to the California Highway Patrol. Every city is required to report to the CHP every collision that its police officers write up.

The crash numbers alone don't really measure danger, because they don't take into account how many people are bicycling on the roads. We decided to compare the accidents with how many bikers are on the roads in each county.

The number of cyclists is difficult to calculate. The only uniform number available across all Bay Area counties is from the U.S. Census Bureau, which asks people if they commute to work by car, public transit, foot or bike. The number does not give a full picture of all the cyclists because it doesn't include people who bike on the weekends for fun or who use a bike to commute only a few days a week. But it does give a relative indication of how popular biking is in each county.

In Santa Clara County, which had the highest crash total, with 3,509, 6 percent of bike commuters were in crashes. Alameda County, which had second-highest total, with 3,406, 7 percent of bike commuters went down. Marin County had a higher rate, with 9 percent of bike commuters getting into accidents, but Marin also sees a flood of tourists who often get into accidents on their trips over the Golden Gate Bridge, probably inflating the rate.

Here's a ranking of accident rates per bike commuter. Click on column headers to sort:

Overall, the numbers show that urban areas, surprisingly, can actually be safer for bikers than more rural and suburban areas. San Francisco, for example, had far fewer biking fatalities than other counties. Santa Clara and Contra Costa counties had the highest number of fatalities, followed by San Mateo and Alameda counties.

Who's to blame for all the bike accidents? Out of the more than 14,000 bike crashes in the Bay Area over the five-year period, bikers were to blame for 52 percent of them, according the police who wrote up the accident reports and sent them to the California Highway Patrol. Just 34 percent were the fault of car drivers.

The raw numbers don't tell the whole story. Solo bike crashes are included in the data, and in most of those cases, bikers are found to be at fault. In bike-versus-car and bike-versus-pedestrian accidents, bikers were at fault 48 percent of the time, while cars were at fault 37 percent of the time. 

And if you had any doubt, the vast majority of accidents were indeed caused by men, according to the data. In all nine counties, men caused more bike accidents than women, whether they were the cyclist or the motorist in the situation. Bear in mind that gender was not noted in about 40 percent of the data; those accidents aren’t included in the chart below.

But more men ride bikes than women do. "Typically there are between two and four times more male riders out today," said Robert Schneider, who has a doctorate from the Department of City and Regional Planning at the University of California, Berkeley.

We took the top three overall violations and showed how many times they were cited in each county. In Alameda, most accidents were caused by a “wrong side of road” violation. In San Francisco, “right of way” violations were most frequent.

Go to the app.

Shane Shifflett
Shane Shifflett is a software developer and reporter who learned how to interrogate data while a story at Northwestern's Medill School. There, he wrote about a drug-addled prostitute's 300th arrest and the unforgiving criminal justice ... View Profile
Sydney Lupkin
Sydney Lupkin is a recent graduate from the Boston University College of Communication. Before arriving at The Bay Citizen, Sydney worked as a computer-assisted reporting intern at ProPublica for six months, where she worked on ... View Profile
Tasneem Raja
Tasneem Raja is The Bay Citizen's web producer. She earned a master's degree from the UC Berkeley Graduate School of Journalism, where she was a pioneer student in the school's digital media program. She served ... View Profile
Zusha Elinson
Reporter covering bikes, buses, BART, buildings, and buds at the Bay Citizen. I was a legal reporter at the Recorder, an editor at the Marinscope and I started my career at the Oakland Post. View Profile
Daniel Schulman
Daniel Schulman
wrote on 05/31/2011 at 1:42 p.m. PDT

I don't understand how you start writing about bike accidents in general and then make conclusions about bike commuters. I would think that a lot of the bike accidents in Contra Costa county are for recreational cyclists, but I did not see that breakdown in your data. Spot-checking it did look like a lot of the Contra Costa accidents were solos going at unsafe speed which might indicate recreational cyclists cruising down a hill.

I think if you are going to make statements about bike commuters, you should look at accident rates just among bike commuters and not overall accident rates and overall rates of bike commuters. While I think your overall conclusion is probably right, you should be aware of the possibility of a Simpson's Paradox.

Zusha Elinson
Zusha Elinson
wrote on 05/31/2011 at 2:06 p.m. PDT

Hey Daniel -- Thanks for your comment. You are correct in saying that bike commuters don't encompass the universe of bikers. After compiling all the accident data we were searching for a way to put it in context. It would, for instance, be wrong to say that San Francisco is more dangerous than Contra Costa County simply because there are more accidents there. What we needed was a way to measure how many cyclists there are in each county. We searched and searched. The only uniform number that we could find for all Bay Area counties was from the Census, which only counts bike commuters. Although that number doesn't include recreational riders, we are using it as a rough indication of how many cyclists are on the roads. By comparing the number of bike commuters with the number of crashes in a given county, we hope to give some indication of how dangerous that area is. We hope that in the future there will be better ways to count cyclists in each county. Currently San Francisco is doing some innovative things to count bikers, but right now the census is best we could find.

Curtis Corlew
Curtis Corlew
wrote on 05/31/2011 at 7:36 p.m. PDT

Car drivers who hit cyclists get to control the story as the cyclist is often too busy bleeding to make a statement. I think that's why your stats show cyclists blamed at a higher percentage than I would think.

M L
M L
wrote on 06/01/2011 at 8:01 a.m. PDT

Sorry Curtis, by my own anecdotal experience does not bear that out. In the city there is a core of mostly male cyclists who consider it a blood sport and clearly get a testosterone or ego or something boost by intentionally riding super-dangerously.

Everyone I talk to, including fellow cyclists, talks about it being a major problem for the cycling community and everyone else.

Until SFPD starts enforcing traffic laws for everyone, and until the leadership of the bike coalition crowd starts speaking the truth and preaching safe, respectful riding, the credibility factor will sway how the larger public views cycling.

MotherLodeBeth
MotherLodeBeth
wrote on 06/01/2011 at 4:13 p.m. PDT

There are some males in SF that scare the beejeevers out of me when I am in the city, because they will ignore a car with blinker turn light on and whiz by as you make the left/right turn. Or they whiz in and out of traffic.

I make an effort to look in the driver side mirror before opening the door, in case a biker is coming up the street. But its crossing the street with a walker and having some biker whiz by and almost knock you over that is worse.

Gordon
Gordon
wrote on 06/01/2011 at 8:12 a.m. PDT

"Until SFPD starts enforcing traffic laws for everyone"

That's a good laugh...

Zusha Elinson
Zusha Elinson
wrote on 06/01/2011 at 9:52 a.m. PDT

Here's a piece we did a few months back on how SFPD treats cyclists in the city: http://www.baycitizen.org/bikes/story/police-refuse-reports-bike-accidents/

Jon Spangler
Jon Spangler
wrote on 06/01/2011 at 11:07 a.m. PDT

This is a good story that helps "peel the onion" a bit on the nature of collisions between bikes and cars. The League of American Bicyclists' data shows similar results to bay Citizens, with about half of all collisions being the responsibility of the motorist and half the cyclists'.

Is it possible that the higher bike accident rates in Contra Costa County can be attributed to the lack of safe places to ride, especially the lack of cyclist-friendly roadways in CCC?

One additional caveat: most law enforcement officers seem to have less training and knowledge in handling bike-involved accidents than they do with autos. At least anecdotally, I have found that many officers do not understand the physics of how bicycles and cyclists move before, during, and after an impact. This - perhaps in combination with a "bikes are toys" bias that is shared with the culture - may be responsible for some additional assignation of blame to cyclists instead of to motorists in some accidents.

In any case, this is a good additional step in the process of understanding the real nature of bike-car collisions in the context of cyclists' "right to the road."

MotherLodeBeth
MotherLodeBeth
wrote on 06/01/2011 at 12:09 p.m. PDT

Here in the Sierras its the week end riders who cause the problems on our narrow mountain roads. Bike riders who commute to work have the least problems I would think since they would know the roads they travel well, and thus the hot spots.

But here in the Sierras we not only get the week end riders who back up traffic but are so uncivil as to pee on our property often within eye view of our windows. Try look up or down bikers!!

They lack common sense and manners!

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